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  1. null (Ed.)
    The historical record indicates the possibility of intense coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Energized particles and magnetic fields ejected by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) towards the Earth may disrupt the Earth’s magnetosphere and generate a geomagnetic storm. During a geomagnetic storm, the induced geoelectric field can drive geomagnetically-induced currents (GICs) that flow through ground-based conductors. These GICs have the potential to damage high voltage power transmission systems and cause blackouts. As part of the NSF-funded Comprehensive Hazard Analysis for Resilience to Geomagnetic Extreme Disturbances (CHARGED) project, a solar-wind-to-lithosphere numerical model of the geoelectric field is being developed. The purpose of this new tool is to drive a new generation of GIC forecasting. As a part of that work, Maxwell’s equations, finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) models of the last stage of the Sun-to-Earth propagation path is being coupled to output generated by the Block Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe-type Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) magnetohydrodynamics model and the Ridley Ionosphere Model (RIM) of ionospheric dynamics. Specifically, three-dimensional (3-D) BATS-R-US and RIM-predicted ionospheric currents occurring in the lower ionosphere during and around the time of the March 17, 2015 storm are modeled in 3-D FDTD models of North America. These models start at a depth of 150 km, and they account for ionospheric currents occurring up to an altitude of 115 km. The resolution of the FDTD models is 22 km (East-West) x 11 km (North-South) x 5 km (radially), and they account for 3-D lithosphere conductivities provided by the U.S. Geological Survey. The FDTD-calculated results are compared with surface magnetic fields measured in the region by SuperMAG and INTERMAGNET magnetometers. The FDTD results are also compared with virtual magnetometer data, which calculates the perturbation of the surface magnetic field using output from the BATS-R-US magnetohydrodynamics model. Comparison plots and an analysis of the results will be provided. 
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